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San Diego Rent Will Continue to Climb

With home prices and condominium conversions slowing down, many renters expected rental rates to decrease or at least stop rising at its current rate. Emmet Pierce of The San Diego Union-Tribune explains that renters should not expect any immediate relief in a July 19, 2006 article, “No letup expected in rental rates.”

The RealFacts research firm released a quarterly report July 18, 2006, which showed that San Diego County’s average rental rates for all types of units in June was $1,276, an increase of 3 percent from last year and a 1 percent increase from the previous quarter. “For two-bedroom, two-bathroom apartments, the average rent was $1,442, a 4 percent increase from the previous year.”

The rising mortgage interest rates have caused a large amount of condominium conversion projects to stall, thus allowing for more apartment units. Thus, many real estate analysts have been watching the market closely, wondering when the rental rates will reduce. This may never happen.

“If we end up with a large group of people who are trapped in rentals, who are not able to buy, we may see an increase in rents of 5 to 6 percent,’ said Robert Pinnegar, executive director of the San Diego County Apartment Association.”

As condominium conversions fail and turn back into apartments, more people will be “trapped.” “Brokerage firm Marcus and Millichap holds that in San Diego County, 25 percent to 40 percent of condos under development or condos that were converted into condos will return to the rental marketplace over the next 18 months, spokeswoman Stacey Corso said.”

This future trend is also expected to be true for Las Vegas, Washington, D.C., Phoenix and most of Florida’s densely populated cities.

“It is already beginning to happen,’ said Kent Williams, regional manager of the firm’s San Diego office.”

Rental complex owners who did not sell their property to become a condominium conversion, are feeling the satisfaction are making the right decision in not having to deal with the mental and financial stress of converting back into apartment units.

Leo Frey, developer of the year-old Allegro Towers rental complex in Little Italy, said he thinks he made the right decision to turn down offers to covert his complex into condominiums.

“I have been in the business long enough. I built this from the ground up. I bought the land. I had it designed. I was offered a lot of money to convert it to condos but I resisted. I had offers in excess of $100 million.”

Most investors, with the exception of Frey, are now scrambling to rent out enough apartment units to make up some of the loss they endured from the failed conversion.

There is no break in sight for prospective condominium owner or renters. Condo rates will rise and remain expensive because their availability will be limited. Renters should not expect their rates to slow down because many renters will be trapped for a while from buying condos or other properties.

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